題目： Changes in Global trade patterns contradict global mitigation efforts
主講人： Laixiang Sun (Professor of University of Maryland)
時(shí) 間：2018年06月13日（周三）下午15:30
地 點(diǎn)：偉德國際1946bv官網(wǎng) 主樓六層
主講人簡介：
孫來祥教授現(xiàn)任美國馬里蘭大學(xué)行為與社會科學(xué)學(xué)院地理經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)教授，兼任倫敦大學(xué)亞非學(xué)院金融管理系教授，北京大學(xué)光華偉德國際1946bv官網(wǎng)資深客座研究員，奧地利維也納國際應(yīng)用系統(tǒng)論研究所（IIASA）資深研究員，中國科學(xué)院地理科學(xué)和資源研究所客座教授。于2010年2月當(dāng)選為英國社會科學(xué)院院士 (Fellow/Academician of the Academy of Social Sciences, the UK)。2005年6月獲中國科學(xué)院授予的“海外杰出華人學(xué)者”榮譽(yù)稱號。1987年參加起草《1988-1995年我國改革規(guī)劃綱要》獲1988年度孫冶方經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎（北京大學(xué)課題組）。孫來祥教授已在國際著名學(xué)術(shù)刊物和其它學(xué)術(shù)載體發(fā)表研究論文140余篇，學(xué)術(shù)專著4部。孫來祥教授發(fā)表研究論文的國際著名學(xué)術(shù)刊物包括《自然-通訊》、《美國科學(xué)院院刊》、《環(huán)境科學(xué)與技術(shù)》、《應(yīng)用能源》、《氣侯變化》、《工業(yè)組織學(xué)國際學(xué)刊》、《牛津大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)與統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)學(xué)刊》、《比較經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)學(xué)刊》、《世界發(fā)展》、《區(qū)域科學(xué)學(xué)刊》、《公司治理》、《生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)》、《工業(yè)生態(tài)學(xué)刊》等。
內(nèi)容簡介：
The proponents of “gains-from-trade hypothesis” contend that global trade improves resource allocation and leads to greater capacity for environmental management. The opponents argue that the competition mechanism of the international market pushes the production of resource intensive products into countries with lower cost of resource use, lower environmental standards and less efficient resource-use technologies. In this research, we address the above debate from a different angle: Whether observed changes in global trade patterns help or hinder the global efforts on climate change mitigation and environmental protection. We employ a global Multi-Regional Input–Output (MRIO) approach to quantify the impacts of changes in global trade patterns on carbon emissions, land use and water consumption between 2004 and 2011. The results show that if the trade patterns in 2004 had been remaining, the global CO2 emissions and water consumption in 2011 would be 669 million tons (2.7%) and 30 billion m3 (0.9%) lower, but the global land use would be 14 million hectares (0.2%) higher than the actual figures, meaning that trade patterns became less carbon and water efficient but more land efficient between 2004 and 2011.
